← Wilczek - Store Championships - Distorted Reflections
Fire SuitedTier 1
at Wilczek - Store Championships - Distorted Reflections
decks
3
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
11-9-0
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.6%
avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
50.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1346
· median 1350
· range 1302–1385
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1253
Q3 1420
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 43.2% | -3.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.2% | -2.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 65.9% | +11.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.7 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Fire Exia | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Wind Allies | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.8% | -6.9 |
